Extreme cold warnings explained: what the alerts mean and what to do

An Extreme Cold Warning is the National Weather Service's most serious cold alert. It means dangerously cold air temperatures or wind chills are expected or already happening. Avoid going outside; if you must, dress in layers, cover all exposed skin and tell someone where you are. A watch means the danger is possible, and an advisory means hazardous cold below warning level.

What does an Extreme Cold Warning mean?

The National Weather Service (NWS) issues an Extreme Cold Warning when extremely dangerous cold conditions or wind chill values are expected or occurring. It is a call to act now, not a forecast to keep an eye on.

NWS advises avoiding going outside during a warning. If you have to go out, dress in layers, cover exposed skin and make sure at least one other person knows your whereabouts. At these levels, frostbite and hypothermia can develop quickly in people who are underdressed, stranded or unable to get indoors.

What is the difference between a Cold Weather Advisory, Extreme Cold Watch and Extreme Cold Warning?

The three alerts form a ladder. A Cold Weather Advisory covers dangerously cold conditions that are not expected to reach warning criteria. An Extreme Cold Watch means extremely dangerous cold is possible, but the occurrence, location or timing is still uncertain. An Extreme Cold Warning means it is expected or already here.

NWS also issues freeze and frost products, which are aimed mainly at crops and plants rather than people. The table summarizes each alert and the action NWS pairs with it.

AlertWhat it meansWhat to do
Cold Weather AdvisoryDangerously cold conditions below warning criteriaDress appropriately and cover exposed skin outdoors
Extreme Cold WatchExtremely dangerous cold is possible; timing or location uncertainPlan to avoid the coldest part of the day, keep at least half a tank of gas, update your winter kit
Extreme Cold WarningExtremely dangerous cold or wind chills expected or occurringAvoid going outside; if you must, layer up, cover skin, tell someone where you are
Freeze WatchSignificant, widespread freezing temperatures possible within 24 to 36 hoursProtect plants and outdoor water lines
Freeze WarningTemperatures forecast below 32°F for a long periodProtect crops, plants and exposed pipes
Frost AdvisoryAreas of frost expected or occurringCover or bring in sensitive plants

What happened to wind chill warnings?

They were renamed. Effective October 1, 2024, NWS renamed the Wind Chill Watch to Extreme Cold Watch, the Wind Chill Warning to Extreme Cold Warning, and the Wind Chill Advisory to Cold Weather Advisory. Hard Freeze Watches became Freeze Watches, and Hard Freeze Warnings were folded into Freeze Warnings.

NWS explained that many people believed extreme cold was only dangerous when it was windy, and that cold messaging could be overshadowed by snow and ice alerts. The new names make clear that very cold air alone, with or without wind, can be a hazard.

What temperature triggers an Extreme Cold Warning?

There is no single national number. Each area sets criteria that reflect what is unusual and dangerous for its climate, so a warning in a southern state can be issued at a much milder reading than one in the northern Plains.

For example, the NWS office in Lincoln, Illinois, issues an Extreme Cold Warning at values of minus 25°F or colder in its northern counties and minus 20°F or colder in its southern counties, with Cold Weather Advisories at somewhat milder readings. That office also notes that actual air temperatures can be cold enough by themselves to meet the old wind chill criteria. Check your local NWS office for the thresholds where you live.

How does wind chill factor into cold alerts?

NWS defines the wind chill temperature as how cold people and animals feel outside, based on the rate of heat loss from exposed skin caused by wind and cold. On the NWS wind chill chart, an air temperature of 0°F with a 15 mph wind produces a wind chill of minus 19°F, at which exposed skin can freeze in 30 minutes.

Since the 2024 change, alerts can be driven by wind chill or by air temperature alone. Wind makes a given temperature more dangerous for bare skin, but calm, very cold air can still meet warning criteria.

What should you do during an Extreme Cold Warning?

Make the warning a stay-home day where you can, and prepare your household before temperatures bottom out.

  • Limit time outdoors; when you go out, wear layers, a hat, mittens and a face covering.

  • Tell someone your route and arrival time before driving, and keep the tank at least half full.

  • Check on older neighbors and relatives; the CDC advises older adults to check their home temperature often in extreme cold.

  • Keep infants in a warm room; the CDC says babies under one year should never sleep in a cold room.

  • Heat safely: the CDC says turning on the stove for heat is not safe, generators belong at least 20 feet from any window, door or vent, and a battery-operated carbon monoxide detector protects against CO poisoning.

  • Bring pets indoors and make sure outdoor animals have shelter.

What are the warning signs of hypothermia?

The CDC lists shivering, exhaustion, confusion, fumbling hands, memory loss, slurred speech and drowsiness as signs of hypothermia in adults, and bright red, cold skin and very low energy in infants. It advises getting medical attention immediately if a person's temperature is below 95°F.

Frostbite can begin with redness, pain or numbness, and affected skin may turn white or grayish-yellow and feel firm or waxy. Move anyone with these signs to a warm place, do not rub the skin, and call 911 for serious symptoms. Talk to a clinician about any cold-related symptoms that concern you.

Key takeaways

  • Advisory, watch and warning form a ladder: hazardous, possibly extreme, then extreme and happening.

  • Since October 1, 2024, Wind Chill alerts are called Extreme Cold Watches and Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories.

  • Criteria vary by region, so check your local NWS office.

  • During a warning, stay inside if you can, cover all skin outdoors and tell someone your plans.

  • Heat your home safely; never use a stove for heat or a generator indoors.

Frequently asked questions

Is an extreme cold warning worse than a watch?

Yes. A watch means extremely dangerous cold is possible but the timing or location is still uncertain. A warning means it is expected or already occurring, so it calls for immediate action.

Is a Cold Weather Advisory the same as the old Wind Chill Advisory?

Yes. On October 1, 2024, the National Weather Service renamed the Wind Chill Advisory to Cold Weather Advisory. The new name reflects that cold air alone, not just wind, can be dangerous.

Should schools and businesses close during an Extreme Cold Warning?

That is a local decision, and many districts consider wind chill, bus routes and how long children wait outdoors. Follow your school or employer's announcements, and plan to limit outdoor time either way.

How long can you be outside during an extreme cold warning?

As little as possible. On the NWS wind chill chart, exposed skin can freeze in 30 minutes at a wind chill of minus 19°F, and colder readings shorten that time. Cover all skin and head indoors at the first sign of numbness.

Do extreme cold warnings apply to pets?

The wind chill NWS reports describes how cold people and animals feel outside, so pets face the same hazard. Bring them indoors, keep outdoor trips short and check paws for ice and injury.

Related reading

Sources

  1. National Weather Service revises watch, warning and advisory products for cold, National Weather Service (NOAA)

  2. Understand Extreme Cold Alerts, National Weather Service (NOAA)

  3. Changes to Cold Weather Related Headlines, National Weather Service, Lincoln, IL

  4. Wind Chill Chart, National Weather Service (NOAA)

  5. Preventing Hypothermia, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

  6. Safety Guidelines: During and After a Winter Storm, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

About HEATJAC. HEATJAC is a thermal architecture company founded by an anesthesiologist. We design patented garment systems that capture, conduct and broaden warmth across the body, and we publish this knowledge hub because the science of staying warm should be public. HEATJAC products are not medical devices and are not intended to diagnose, treat, cure or prevent any disease.

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